Posts in: Sports

The NFL pressure model debut

So, I’ve been working on-again, off-again on an NFL pressure model for a year and a half, maybe two. It’s really just a mutation of Richard Mcelreath’s cat-bird model (https://gist.github.com/rmcelreath/17a0b9373b04f50e335f027c17d379f5). The main differences are that this model is multivariate and lets the presence rate vary by team. The code itself is here: github.com/JSTrostle… It’s a lot, but not quite an eldritch horror. The data section is pretty self explanatory. The only thing of note is that the QB EPA, CPOE, and air yards are all in a matrix together rather than being vectors on their own.

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